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Week 43 Friday, October 23, 2026

The world’s biggest legal disputes

Every live case is scored on what is at stake, its legal and public impact, and how recently it moved, and the index is ranked again each day. Edited by Roman Buzko and Robert Lynch.

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Live cases
100
In dispute
$1.3T
Jurisdictions
43
Latest event
Oct 22, 2026

This week

Biggest climb vs. last week Aircraft Lessors v. Insurers (Russia)38 to No. 51 Oct 5: Operator Policy claims trial opens in Commercial Court Biggest fall Uber Sexual Assault MDL11 to No. 70 No new development since Oct 2 Latest ruling Mozambique v. PrivinvestOct 21 Court of Appeal dismisses Safa widow’s joinder appeal Next up Gormsen v. MetaNov 5 CAT lists case management conference

Where the cases stand

From filing to enforcement. In arbitrations the steps read hearing, award and review, and in criminal cases charged, verdict and post-trial. 9 cases have a settlement awaiting approval. Select a step to filter the index.

The index

Dubai+25Russia+53

All 100 cases

Rank Move Case Counsel Court Stage At stake Score 10 weeks AI forecast? Latest event
1 = U.S. v. Apple (Smartphones)U.S. and states say Apple’s ecosystem restrictions maintain a smartphone monopoly Pl.U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust DivisionDef.Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher +1 D.N.J.2:24-cv-04055 Pre-trialD.N.J. Structural relief 78.2 42%Apple and DOJ file a proposed settlement Oct 1
2 = Bank of Russia v. EuroclearBank of Russia seeks to enforce $250B Moscow judgment against Euroclear Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded Ninth Arbitrazh Court of Appeal EnforcementNinth Arbitrazh Court of Appeal ~$250B judgment 78.3 83%Cassation court upholds judgment Sep 24
3 = Bank of Russia v. EURussia’s central bank challenges the EU’s indefinite freeze of its reserves Pl.C. Alter +1Def.Not recorded EU General Courtunknown Pre-trialEU General Court ~€210B immobilized 76.4 58%General Court dismisses bank’s action Sep 15
4 = Texas v. BlackRockStates accuse BlackRock and State Street of colluding to cut coal output Pl.The Buzbee Law Firm +1Def.Wilmer Cutler Pickering Hale and Dorr +4 E.D. Tex.6:24-cv-00437-JDK Pre-trialE.D. Tex. Unquantified 75.8 38%Court denies BlackRock-State Street motion Sep 18
5 = Learning Resources v. TrumpImporters pursue refunds of tariffs the Supreme Court held IEEPA does not authorize Pl.Liberty Justice CenterDef.Office of the Solicitor General, U.S. Department of Justice U.S. Court of International Trade24-1287 EnforcementU.S. Court of International Trade $122B certified 74.0 32%Federal Circuit affirms refund orders Oct 8
6 10 places upfrom 16 FTC v. AmazonFTC and states say Amazon illegally maintains its online marketplace monopoly Pl.U.S. Federal Trade CommissionDef.Williams & Connolly +1 W.D. Wash.2:23-cv-01495 Pre-trialW.D. Wash. Structural relief 75.0 44%†Court finds Amazon liable Oct 9
8 1 places downfrom 7 FTC v. MetaFTC seeks to revive its bid to unwind Meta’s Instagram and WhatsApp deals Pl.U.S. Federal Trade CommissionDef.Kellogg, Hansen, Todd, Figel & Frederick +1 D.C. Cir.1:20-cv-03590 AppealD.C. Cir. Structural relief 72.7 62%†D.C. Circuit affirms judgment for Meta Sep 29
9 1 places downfrom 8 UK Motor Finance Redress LitigationLenders and a consumer group challenge the UK regulator’s £7.5B car-finance redress scheme Pl.Courmacs LegalDef.Slaughter and May +1 Upper Tribunal[2025] UKSC 33 Pre-trialUpper Tribunal ~£7.5B 67.2 43%Tribunal dismisses all four challenges Oct 13
10 1 places downfrom 9 NYT v. OpenAI (Copyright MDL)News publishers say OpenAI and Microsoft built ChatGPT on their copyrighted work Pl.Susman Godfrey +1Def.Williams & Connolly +5 S.D.N.Y.1:25-md-03143 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Billions 65.9 34%†Split ruling or fair use left for trial Oct 8
11 1 places downfrom 10 Shale Oil Antitrust LitigationFuel buyers accuse shale producers of conspiring with OPEC to cut output Pl.Spector Roseman & Kodroff +5Def.Not recorded D.N.M.MDL No. 3119 Pre-trialD.N.M. Unquantified 67.5 48%A producer settles with the purchasers Oct 8
12 7 places upfrom 19 Yukos v. RussiaFormer Yukos shareholders seek to enforce expropriation awards worth over $66B against Russia Cl.Gaillard Banifatemi Shelbaya DisputesResp.White & Case English Court of AppealAA 226 EnforcementEnglish Court of Appeal $66B+ 68.3 68%Court stays shareholders’ suit Oct 22
13 35 places upfrom 48 Google v. EC (Ad Tech)Google challenges €2.95B EU ad-tech fine while Brussels weighs divestiture Pl.Not recordedDef.European Commission EU General CourtAT.40670 AppealEU General Court €2.95B fine 69.9 47%†Commission accepts behavioral remedies Oct 14
14 3 places downfrom 11 API v. James (NY Climate Superfund)Industry groups and states say federal law preempts New York’s $75B climate superfund Pl.Lehotsky Keller Cohn +1Def.New York State Office of the Attorney General N.D.N.Y.1:25-cv-00168 DecisionN.D.N.Y. $75B 63.3 58%Second Circuit affirms, Act stays void Sep 24
15 3 places downfrom 12 Labels v. SunoRecord labels accuse Suno and Udio of training AI models on their recordings Pl.Hueston HenniganDef.Latham & Watkins D. Mass.1:24-cv-11611 Pre-trialD. Mass. Statutory damages 65.3 44%†UMG and Sony settle with Suno Sep 18
16 3 places downfrom 13 U.S. v. Google (Ad Tech)Court orders behavioral fixes after finding Google monopolized ad tech markets Pl.U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust DivisionDef.Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer +1 E.D. Va.1:23-cv-00108 DecisionE.D. Va. Injunctive relief 65.7 40%†Fourth Circuit affirms Google liability Oct 2
17 3 places downfrom 14 Social Media Addiction MDLFamilies and school districts say social platforms addict and harm minors Pl.Seeger Weiss +2Def.Covington & Burling N.D. Cal.MDL No. 3047 (4:22-md-03047 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. ~$17.1B settlement 64.9 42%†Meta agrees global settlement Aug 26
18 3 places downfrom 15 NFL Sunday Ticket LitigationSubscribers say the NFL inflated Sunday Ticket prices to protect network broadcasts Pl.Susman GodfreyDef.Wilkinson Stekloff +1 9th Cir.2:15-ml-02668 Appeal9th Cir. $4.7B vacated 63.6 38%Ninth Circuit affirms NFL judgment Sep 8
19 2 places downfrom 17 Eaton Fire LitigationVictims and Los Angeles County say Edison equipment sparked the Eaton Fire Pl.Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein +2Def.Hueston Hennigan Los Angeles County Superior Court25STCV00731 Pre-trialLos Angeles County Superior Court $10B–$45B 62.2 45%SCE settles bellwether claims Sep 22
20 2 places downfrom 18 Roundup LitigationTens of thousands allege Roundup caused their cancer as a class settlement awaits approval Pl.Weitz & Luxenberg +2Def.Not recorded Circuit Court for the City of St. LouisMDL No. 2741 Trial SettlingCircuit Court for the City of St. Louis $18B+ 63.2 74%Boyer grants final approval Sep 29
21 1 places downfrom 20 States v. Live NationStates seek Ticketmaster breakup after jury finds Live Nation monopolized ticketing Pl.Winston & Strawn +2Def.Latham & Watkins +1 S.D.N.Y.1:24-cv-03973-AS Decision SettlingS.D.N.Y. Structural relief 63.6 50%Court denies Live Nation’s motions Oct 2
22 3 places upfrom 25 Payment Card Interchange Fee LitigationMerchants allege Visa and Mastercard fixed swipe fees, and objectors fight a proposed settlement CounselRobbins Geller Rudman & Dowd +2 E.D.N.Y.1:05-md-01720 Pre-trial SettlingE.D.N.Y. ~$38B 65.5 64%Cogan grants final approval Sep 15
23 11 places upfrom 34 Camp Lejeune Water LitigationVeterans and families seek damages from the U.S. over contaminated Camp Lejeune water Pl.Bell Legal GroupDef.U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Division E.D.N.C.7:23-cv-897 (E.D.N.C. Pre-trial SettlingE.D.N.C. ~$21B 66.2 41%Bellwether plaintiff wins damages Oct 19
24 3 places downfrom 21 Authors Guild v. OpenAIAuthors say OpenAI and Microsoft copied their books to train GPT models Pl.Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein +2Def.Latham & Watkins +2 S.D.N.Y.1:23-cv-08292 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Billions 61.5 35%†Split ruling or fair use left open Sep 17
25 3 places downfrom 22 Kashagan Consortium v. KazakhstanKashagan partners challenge Kazakhstan’s sulfur fine as the state presses production-sharing claims Cl.Not recordedResp.Not recorded Ad hoc arbitral tribunal Pre-hearingAd hoc arbitral tribunal $150B+ 61.4 38%Kazakhstan and partners settle fine Oct 9
26 3 places downfrom 23 Disney & Universal v. MidjourneyHollywood studios accuse Midjourney of generating their copyrighted characters on demand Pl.Jenner & BlockDef.Cooley C.D. Cal.2:25-cv-05275-JAK-AJR Pre-trialC.D. Cal. Statutory damages 61.8 29%†Court denies Midjourney’s Cox motion Oct 5
27 3 places downfrom 24 Município de Mariana v. BHPBrazilian claimants seek damages from BHP over the 2015 Mariana dam collapse Pl.Pogust Goodhead +2Def.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer English High Court[2025] EWHC 3001 DecisionEnglish High Court Up to £36B 63.4 64%No settlement by June 30, 2027 Oct 12
28 2 places downfrom 26 ConocoPhillips v. VenezuelaConocoPhillips enforces final ICSID award over Venezuela’s 2007 oil expropriation Cl.Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer +1Resp.Curtis, Mallet-Prevost, Colt & Mosle +1 3d Cir.ARB/07/30 Enforcement3d Cir. $8.5B 60.3 45%Third Circuit affirms Citgo sale order Oct 8
29 2 places downfrom 27 Buist v. AnthropicConsumers accuse four AI labs of illegally agreeing to slow development Pl.Trial Lawyers For Justice +1Def.Not recorded N.D. Cal.3:26-cv-10693 FiledN.D. Cal. Unquantified 62.3 †Insufficient evidence Oct 7
30 2 places downfrom 28 Gormsen v. MetaFacebook users seek about £3B over Meta’s alleged uncompensated harvesting of their data Pl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan UK +5Def.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer +3 Competition Appeal Tribunal1433/7/7/22 Pre-trialCompetition Appeal Tribunal ~£3B 63.4 63%†User damages ruling stands Jul 29Next Nov 5
31 12 places upfrom 43 Concord v. AnthropicMusic publishers say Anthropic pirated and copied their lyrics to train Claude Pl.Oppenheim + ZebrakDef.WilmerHale +1 N.D. Cal.5:24-cv-03811 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. ~$3B 61.9 34%†Split ruling or both motions denied Oct 21
32 3 places downfrom 29 Epic v. AppleApple fights contempt finding over App Store anti-steering injunction at Supreme Court Pl.Cravath, Swaine & MooreDef.Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher +1 U.S. Supreme Court4:20-cv-05640 AppealU.S. Supreme Court Injunctive relief 61.3 62%Supreme Court reverses or vacates Sep 22
33 3 places downfrom 30 AFFF Firefighting Foam MDLPlaintiffs allege PFAS in firefighting foam caused cancer and other diseases Pl.Douglas & London +2Def.Not recorded D.S.C.MDL No. 2873 Pre-trial SettlingD.S.C. ~$14B settled 57.9 58%3M or DuPont settles injury claims Oct 1
34 3 places downfrom 31 Apple v. Commission (DMA)Apple contests the EU’s €500M Digital Markets Act fine and iOS interoperability orders Pl.Freshfields Bruckhaus DeringerDef.European Commission EU General CourtT-1079/23 AppealEU General Court €500M fine 58.3 45%General Court upholds €500M fine Sep 18
35 3 places downfrom 32 Epic v. GoogleFortnite maker’s antitrust fight forces Google to open the Play Store Pl.Cravath, Swaine & Moore +1Def.Munger Tolles & Olson N.D. Cal.3:20-cv-05671 EnforcementN.D. Cal. Structural relief 59.6 79%†Injunction stands, no violation found Aug 14
36 3 places downfrom 33 FTC v. Amazon (Ad Auction)Regulators accuse Amazon of secretly rigging its ad-auction prices Pl.Federal Trade Commission +1Def.Dunn Isaacson Rhee +1 W.D. Wash.2:26-cv-03097 FiledW.D. Wash. $20B+ 60.8 †Insufficient evidence Sep 2026
37 2 places downfrom 35 Petersen v. Argentina (YPF)Former YPF shareholders ask U.S. Supreme Court to revive $16.1B judgment Pl.Not recordedDef.Sullivan & Cromwell U.S. Supreme Court15-cv-02739 AppealU.S. Supreme Court $16.1B vacated 57.9 83%Supreme Court denies Petersen’s petition Oct 19
38 2 places downfrom 36 TikTok v. Irish DPCTikTok disputes calculation of €530M GDPR fine over China data access Pl.Paul Gallagher SC +3Def.Francis Kieran High Court of Ireland[2026] IEHC 347 AppealHigh Court of Ireland €530M fine 59.6 34%CJEU backs DPC’s fining approach Sep 15
39 2 places downfrom 37 Elsevier v. MetaPublishers say Meta pirated their books and papers to train Llama Pl.Oppenheim + Zebrak +2Def.Dunn Isaacson Rhee +1 N.D. Cal.1:26-cv-03689 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Statutory damages 56.6 28%†Claims against Zuckerberg survive Oct 2026
40 2 places downfrom 38 AT1 Bondholders v. FINMABondholders fight Switzerland’s zeroing of $17B in Credit Suisse bonds Pl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan +1Def.Not recorded Swiss Federal Supreme CourtB-2334/2023 AppealSwiss Federal Supreme Court $17B 57.5 35%Supreme Court reinstates write-down Jul 16
41 2 places downfrom 39 UK Dieselgate Group LitigationUK diesel owners pursue defeat-device damages after High Court rejects most allegations Pl.Leigh Day +1Def.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer +2 English High Court[2026] EWHC 1753 DecisionEnglish High Court Unquantified 56.4 58%Claimants get permission to appeal Oct 2026
42 2 places downfrom 40 U.S. v. StormProsecutors say Tornado Cash co-founder’s privacy protocol facilitated money laundering Pros.U.S. Attorney’s Office, S.D.N.Y.Def.Waymaker S.D.N.Y.1:23-cr-00430 TrialS.D.N.Y. Unquantified 57.7 45%Retrial of hung counts begins Oct 5
43 2 places downfrom 41 Próspera v. HondurasCharter city developers say Honduras expropriated their investment by repealing its ZEDE regime Cl.White & CaseResp.Foley Hoag +2 ICSIDARB/23/2 Pre-hearingICSID ~$1.63B 57.3 36%Próspera and Honduras settle Oct 7
44 2 places downfrom 42 Rhoney v. Barbosa da CunhaDoes federal law require mandatory detention without bond for long-present immigrants? Pl.Law Office of Paul O’Dwyer +2Def.Office of the Solicitor General, U.S. Department of Justice U.S. Supreme Court26-104 Pre-trialU.S. Supreme Court Injunctive relief 55.5 56%Court upholds government’s reading Oct 16
45 1 places downfrom 44 South Africa v. IsraelSouth Africa accuses Israel of genocide in Gaza at the International Court of Justice Cl.Doughty Street ChambersResp.Essex Court Chambers International Court of JusticeGeneral List No. 192 Pre-trialInternational Court of Justice Unquantified 54.2 70%South Africa files Reply on schedule Sep 18
46 1 places downfrom 45 Apple v. Commission (Music Streaming)Apple challenges €1.84B EU fine over music streaming anti-steering rules Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded EU General CourtT-286/24 AppealEU General Court €1.84B fine 54.3 34%Court cuts fine or partly annuls Sep 4
47 1 places downfrom 46 States v. USPS (Mail-Ballot Rule)States and voting groups fight Trump-directed USPS mail-ballot restrictions before midterms Pl.California Department of Justice, Office of the Attorney GeneralDef.U.S. Department of Justice D. Mass.26A305 Pre-trialD. Mass. Injunctive relief 56.2 40%First Circuit affirms injunction Sep 14
48 1 places downfrom 47 Suncor v. Boulder CountyDoes federal law bar state-law climate damages suits against oil companies? Pl.Russell & Woofter +5Def.Davis Polk & Wardwell +1 U.S. Supreme Court25-170 AppealU.S. Supreme Court Unquantified 52.7 50%Court bars Boulder’s state-law claims Oct 5
49 = Getty Images v. Stability AIGetty accuses Stability AI of copying its photos to build Stable Diffusion Pl.Weil, Gotshal & MangesDef.Morrison & Foerster English Court of AppealIL-2023-000007 AppealEnglish Court of Appeal Unquantified 53.9 46%†Court of Appeal dismisses Getty’s appeal Aug 18
50 = New Jersey v. Amazon (DSP Monopsony)New Jersey accuses Amazon of exploiting monopsony power over delivery drivers Pl.Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati +1Def.Not recorded D.N.J.2:26-cv-09814 FiledD.N.J. Unquantified 54.3 †Insufficient evidence Oct 1
51 38 places upfrom 89 Aircraft Lessors v. Insurers (Russia)Insurers appeal ruling that war-risks cover pays for jets stranded in Russia Pl.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer +2Def.Holman Fenwick Willan +3 English Court of AppealCL-2022-000294 AppealEnglish Court of Appeal ~$4.5B 55.1 42%War-risks insurers’ appeal fails Oct 5
52 32 places upfrom 84 WhatsApp v. NSO GroupNSO appeals liability and an injunction over Pegasus hacks of WhatsApp users Pl.Davis Polk & WardwellDef.King & Spalding N.D. Cal.4:19-cv-07123 AppealN.D. Cal. $4.45M judgment 56.9 55%†Ninth Circuit affirms WhatsApp’s win Oct 16
53 1 places downfrom 52 U.S. v. MaduroU.S. prosecutors accuse Nicolás Maduro of narco-terrorism as he claims head-of-state immunity Pros.US Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New YorkDef.Harris St. Laurent & Wechsler +2 S.D.N.Y.S4 11-cr-00205 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Unquantified 52.5 72%Court denies all dismissal motions Oct 15Next Nov 17
54 3 places downfrom 51 Evergrande Liquidators v. PwCEvergrande’s liquidators allege PwC firms negligently audited the collapsed developer’s accounts Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded Hong Kong High Court Pre-trialHong Kong High Court $8.4B 52.0 52%Court rejects liquidators’ SFC challenge Sep 28
55 2 places downfrom 53 Guyana v. Venezuela (Essequibo)Guyana defends the 1899 award giving it Essequibo, which Venezuela says is null Cl.Foley HoagResp.Not recorded International Court of JusticeICJ General List No. 171 TrialInternational Court of Justice Unquantified 53.0 75%Court upholds 1899 Award May 11
56 2 places downfrom 54 Nigeria v. BinanceNigeria accuses Binance of weakening the naira and evading taxes Pl.Moses Ideho +1Def.Chukwuka Ikwuazom, SAN Federal High Court, AbujaFHC/ABJ/CR/115/2024 Pre-trial SettlingFederal High Court, Abuja $81.5B 52.2 47%Nigeria and Binance settle tax case Jul 9
57 2 places downfrom 55 Raiffeisen v. RasperiaRaiffeisen seeks to recover Russian court losses from Rasperia’s frozen STRABAG shares Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded Vienna Regional Court for Civil Matters DecisionVienna Regional Court for Civil Matters €3.15B 49.2 40%Regulator releases shares to RBI Sep 22
58 2 places downfrom 56 Maceió Subsidence LitigationMaceió residents and Brazilian prosecutors pursue Braskem over salt-mine subsidence Pl.Pogust Goodhead +1Def.Not recorded Court of Appeal of The HagueECLI:NL:RBROT:2022:7549 AppealCourt of Appeal of The Hague $3.9B+ 50.4 32%Affirms parent, clears subsidiaries Aug 28
59 2 places downfrom 57 Musk v. OpenAIMusk appeals ruling that his claims over OpenAI’s for-profit shift are time-barred Pl.Toberoff & Associates +1Def.Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz N.D. Cal.4:24-cv-04722 AppealN.D. Cal. ~$150B 52.0 55%†Ninth Circuit affirms time-bar ruling May 18
60 4 places upfrom 64 Apple v. OpenAIApple accuses OpenAI and former employees of taking its hardware trade secrets Pl.Weil, Gotshal & MangesDef.Not recorded N.D. Cal.5:26-cv-07078 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Injunctive relief 52.4 60%†Court enters injunction against OpenAI Oct 14
61 4 places upfrom 65 California v. EPA (CAA Waivers)California challenges EPA’s reclassification of its Clean Air Act waivers as rules Pl.California Department of Justice, Office of the Attorney GeneralDef.U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Division D.C. Cir.1:26-cv-02185-BAH AppealD.C. Cir. Unquantified 52.7 33%D.C. Circuit affirms injunction Oct 15
62 9 places upfrom 71 Cook v. TrumpCan Trump fire a Fed governor over pre-office mortgage fraud claims? Pl.Lowell & Associates +1Def.U.S. Department of Justice, Office of the Solicitor General D.D.C.1:25-cv-02903 Pre-trialD.D.C. Unquantified 52.5 47%Cook wins in district court Oct 13Next Nov 5
63 = Amazon v. PerplexityAmazon says Perplexity’s Comet AI agent accesses customer accounts without its authorization Pl.Hueston HenniganDef.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan N.D. Cal.3:25-cv-09514 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Injunctive relief 52.1 30%†Court dismisses all computer claims Oct 13
64 2 places upfrom 66 Trump v. BBCTrump accuses the BBC of defaming him with an edited January 6 speech clip Pl.BritoDef.Ballard Spahr S.D. Fla.1:25-cv-25894 Pre-trialS.D. Fla. $10B 52.7 36%Court dismisses Trump’s suit Oct 19
65 7 places downfrom 58 GLP-1 Products Liability MDLsPatients allege Ozempic and rival GLP-1 drugs cause gastrointestinal injuries and vision loss Pl.Seeger Weiss +2Def.Not recorded E.D. Pa. Pre-trialE.D. Pa. Unquantified 53.8 40%Court splits the claims Oct 13
66 14 places upfrom 80 Devas v. Antrix and IndiaCan an award annulled at home be enforced abroad? Cl.Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher +1Resp.Curtis, Mallet-Prevost, Colt & Mosle 9th Cir.23-1201 Enforcement9th Cir. $2B+ 52.7 38%Court refuses to enforce annulled award Oct 16
67 7 places downfrom 60 X Corp. v. Apple and OpenAIMusk’s X and SpaceXAI say OpenAI’s Apple deal locks Grok out of iPhones Pl.Axinn, Veltrop & Harkrider +3Def.Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz +1 N.D. Tex.4:25-cv-00914 Pre-trial SettlingN.D. Tex. Billions 49.1 35%†OpenAI defeats the claims Sep 22Next Jan 11, 2027
68 7 places downfrom 61 In re First Brands GroupBanks, funds, and creditors fight over losses from alleged First Brands receivables fraud Pl.Brown RudnickDef.Weil, Gotshal & Manges Bankr. S.D. Tex. Pre-trialBankr. S.D. Tex. $10B+ 50.2 47%Western Alliance settles with Jefferies Oct 7
69 7 places downfrom 62 NextEra and Blasket v. SpainInvestors seek to enforce unpaid Energy Charter Treaty awards against Spain in U.S. courts Cl.Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom +1Resp.Williams & Connolly D.D.C. EnforcementD.D.C. €1.5B+ 49.7 57%D.C. Circuit affirms confirmation Oct 6
70 11 places downfrom 59 Uber Sexual Assault MDLPassengers say Uber failed to protect them from sexual assaults by drivers Pl.Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein +2Def.Kirkland & Ellis +1 N.D. Cal.MDL No. 3084 TrialN.D. Cal. $1B+ 47.0 36%Uber agrees to global MDL settlement Oct 2
71 4 places downfrom 67 Trump v. NYT and Dow JonesPresident Trump says The New York Times and Wall Street Journal defamed him Pl.BritoDef.Williams & Connolly +3 M.D. Fla.8:25-cv-02487 FiledM.D. Fla. $25B 47.7 62%WSJ suit dismissed with prejudice Aug 27
72 4 places downfrom 68 Bille and Ogale v. ShellNiger Delta communities accuse Shell of oil pollution and misleading court evidence Pl.Leigh Day +4Def.Debevoise & Plimpton +1 English High Court[2026] EWHC 2332 Pre-trialEnglish High Court Unquantified 47.0 38%Shell settles with the communities Sep 10Next Mar 2027
73 4 places downfrom 69 Naftogaz v. Russia (Crimea)Naftogaz enforces its Crimea expropriation award against Russian state assets abroad Cl.Covington & Burling +1Resp.Not recorded PCA2017-16 EnforcementPCA ~$5B 46.9 50%Court confirms Naftogaz award Sep 2
74 4 places downfrom 70 DRC v. Rwanda (ICJ)DRC accuses Rwanda of genocide and rights abuses in eastern Congo Cl.Not recordedResp.Not recorded International Court of JusticeGeneral List No. 202 FiledInternational Court of Justice Unquantified 48.5 Insufficient evidence Sep 7
75 3 places downfrom 72 U.S. v. HuaweiProsecutors accuse Huawei of racketeering through Iran dealings and trade-secret theft Pros.U.S. Department of Justice / U.S. Attorney’s Office, EDNYDef.Jenner & Block +2 E.D.N.Y.1:18-cr-00457 TrialE.D.N.Y. Unquantified 47.7 80%Jury returns verdict in Huawei trial Oct 15
76 11 places upfrom 87 Anthropic v. Department of WarAnthropic says Pentagon blacklisted it for restricting Claude’s surveillance and weapons use Pl.WilmerHaleDef.U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Division, Appellate Staff D.C. Cir.3:26-cv-01996 AppealD.C. Cir. Injunctive relief 49.6 65%†Panel ruling for Pentagon stands Oct 13
77 4 places downfrom 73 J&J Talc MDLPlaintiffs allege J&J’s talc-based baby powder caused their ovarian cancer Pl.Ashcraft & GerelDef.King & Spalding +1 D.N.J.MDL No. 2738 Pre-trial SettlingD.N.J. $5.5B proposed 45.4 57%J&J ovarian talc deal proceeds Sep 14
78 4 places downfrom 74 House v. NCAA (Post-Settlement Appeals)Athlete groups appeal approval of $2.8B NCAA settlement, alleging Title IX violations Pl.Winston & Strawn +1Def.Not recorded 9th Cir.4:20-cv-03919 (N.D. Cal. Appeal9th Cir. $2.8B 46.7 56%Ninth Circuit affirms approval Jun 29
79 4 places downfrom 75 Alex Neill v. SonyUK gamers say Sony’s 30% store cut inflated PlayStation prices for years Pl.Milberg LondonDef.Linklaters UK Competition Appeal Tribunal1527/7/7/22 TrialUK Competition Appeal Tribunal £1.97B claim 46.2 47%Tribunal finds Sony abused dominance May 8
80 4 places downfrom 76 Milieudefensie v. ShellNGOs seek court-ordered emissions cuts and a halt to Shell’s new oil fields Pl.Paulussen AdvocatenDef.De Brauw Blackstone Westbroek +1 Supreme Court of the NetherlandsHoge Raad 25/00497 AppealSupreme Court of the Netherlands Injunctive relief 44.4 64%Hoge Raad rejects Milieudefensie appeal Jul 17
81 4 places downfrom 77 Pampena v. MuskMusk appeals verdict that a 2022 tweet misled Twitter shareholders who sold Pl.Cotchett, Pitre & McCarthy +1Def.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan 9th Cir.3:22-cv-05937-CRB Appeal9th Cir. ~$2.6B 45.1 34%Judgment stands on appeal Aug 4Next Nov 24
82 17 places upfrom 99 Mozambique v. PrivinvestMozambique pursues Privinvest, the Safa estate, and Safa’s widow over tuna bonds bribery Pl.Peters & PetersDef.Forsters English Court of Appeal[2024] EWHC 1957 EnforcementEnglish Court of Appeal ~$2.3B 47.1 63%Widow’s joinder becomes final Oct 21
83 5 places downfrom 78 LNG Offtakers v. Venture GlobalLNG buyers say Venture Global withheld contracted cargoes Cl.Not recordedResp.Not recorded ICC AwardICC $6B+ 42.9 43%Orlen wins liability finding Oct 7
84 3 places downfrom 81 Nord Stream 2 v. EUNord Stream 2 AG challenges EU gas laws in arbitration and the General Court Cl.3 Verulam BuildingsResp.Steptoe & Johnson Ad hoc tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration2020-07 Pre-hearingAd hoc tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration ~$8B 43.4 57%General Court upholds Nord Stream ban Jun 15
85 3 places downfrom 82 FTX Collapse MDLFTX customers accuse promoters, lawyers, and auditors of enabling the exchange’s fraud Pl.The Moskowitz Law Firm +1Def.Not recorded S.D. Fla.MDL No. 3076 Pre-trial SettlingS.D. Fla. ~$11B losses 43.6 63%Court approves all three deals May 22
86 7 places downfrom 79 Taction v. AppleApple challenges $5.72B verdict finding its Taptic Engine infringes Taction patents Pl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & SullivanDef.Fish & Richardson +1 S.D. Cal.3:21-cv-00812 DecisionS.D. Cal. $5.72B verdict 44.5 35%Court upholds full $5.72B verdict Oct 19
87 4 places downfrom 83 Wintershall Dea v. Russia (II)Wintershall Dea claims Russia seized its Siberian gas stakes without adequate compensation Cl.Aurelius CottaResp.General Prosecutor's Office of the Russian Federation Arbitral tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration2024-42 Pre-hearingArbitral tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration €7.5B penalty 43.3 48%Wintershall wins liability award Jun 4
88 3 places upfrom 91 Notre Affaire à Tous v. TotalEnergiesDo TotalEnergies’ vigilance duties reach its customers’ emissions? Pl.Seattle AvocatsDef.A&O Shearman Paris Court of Appeal AppealParis Court of Appeal Injunctive relief 44.5 44%Court of Appeal upholds Scope 3 order Jul 27Next Jan 21, 2027
89 4 places downfrom 85 In re Tether & BitfinexCrypto buyers allege Tether and Bitfinex used unbacked USDT to inflate prices Pl.Selendy Gay +1Def.Debevoise & Plimpton S.D.N.Y.1:19-cv-09236 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Billions 42.2 38%Tether settles with purchaser classes Jul 2
90 4 places downfrom 86 Iraq v. TurkeyIraq seeks to enforce a $1.47B award against Turkey over Kurdish oil exports Cl.Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton +1Resp.King & Spalding International D.D.C.20273/AGF/ZF/AYZ/ELU EnforcementD.D.C. $1.47B 38.9 37%D.C. court confirms Iraq’s award Sep 23
91 3 places downfrom 88 GEMA v. OpenAIOpenAI appeals Munich ruling that ChatGPT infringes German song lyric copyrights Pl.RaueDef.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan Munich Higher Regional CourtLG München I 42 O 14139/24 AppealMunich Higher Regional Court Unquantified 40.5 33%†Appeal court upholds GEMA’s win Jul 31
92 2 places downfrom 90 Like Company v. GoogleDoes training and running an AI chatbot infringe EU press copyright? Pl.Not recordedDef.Hengeler Mueller CJEUC-250/25 Pre-trialCJEU Unquantified 40.6 40%†CJEU issues split ruling Mar 10
93 1 places downfrom 92 ExxonMobil v. NetherlandsExxonMobil challenges Groningen closure and Dutch levies under the Energy Charter Treaty Cl.Freshfields Bruckhaus DeringerResp.Fietta ICSIDARB/24/44 Pre-hearingICSID €3.96B+ 39.3 30%Tribunal finds Netherlands liable Feb 4
94 1 places downfrom 93 Uniper v. GazpromUniper seeks to enforce €13B award against Gazprom over undelivered gas Cl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & SullivanResp.Not recorded Ad hoc arbitral tribunal EnforcementAd hoc arbitral tribunal €13B+ award 39.1 88%No recovery by December 31, 2027 Jan 12
95 1 places downfrom 94 Naftogaz v. Gazprom (Transit)Naftogaz seeks to enforce a $1.37B transit-fee award against Gazprom Cl.Wikborg Rein +1Resp.Not recorded AIFC Court EnforcementAIFC Court $1.37B award 37.3 59%No enforcement order in force Jul 7
96 1 places downfrom 95 Samuels v. Lido DAOInvestors say Lido DAO’s venture backers are liable as general partners Pl.Gerstein Harrow +1Def.Latham & Watkins +2 N.D. Cal.3:23-cv-06492 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Unquantified 37.9 31%Court grants funds summary judgment May 15
97 1 places downfrom 96 Crescent Petroleum v. NIOCCrescent pursues assets of Iran’s state oil company to enforce a $2.75B award Cl.McDermott Will & Emery UK +1Resp.Eversheds Sutherland UK Supreme Court[2023] EWCA Civ 826 EnforcementUK Supreme Court $2.75B 35.2 48%NIOC’s Supreme Court appeal fails Aug 2026
98 1 places downfrom 97 Perkins Coie v. DOJGovernment appeals rulings striking down Trump orders targeting law firms Pl.Cooley +2Def.Not recorded D.C. Cir.D.C. Cir. 25-5241 AppealD.C. Cir. Injunctive relief 36.7 50%D.C. Circuit upholds all four injunctions May 14
99 1 places downfrom 98 FTX Trust v. Binance and ZhaoFTX’s estate seeks to claw back $1.76B paid to buy out Binance Pl.White & CaseDef.BakerHostetler Bankr. D. Del.Adv. Proc. No. 24-50222 Pre-trialBankr. D. Del. $1.76B clawback 33.2 45%Trust settles with Binance Jul 24
100 = Valar Atomics v. Day OneValar Atomics says it properly excluded an early investor from its Series B Pl.In-houseDef.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan Delaware court FiledDelaware court Unquantified 27.1 Insufficient evidence Oct 2026

Stakes Impact Impact not rated yet, counted at 50 Timeliness. Bars are drawn to the 100-point scale. A case overtakes the one above it only when it leads by more than 2 points, so the order holds steady from day to day.

Latest event this week this month this quarter older. 10 weeks: the rank each week, No. 1 at the top, dashed line at No. 10.

AI forecasts are experimental: generated automatically from each case’s record, published without editorial review and scored publicly as cases resolve. How they are made. † Anthropic, which makes the forecasting model, is a party to the case, or competes with or has ties to a party.

Coming up From the case records

  1. Gormsen v. MetaCAT lists case management conference
  2. Cook v. TrumpCommittee of inquiry schedules closed-door hearing on Cook allegations
  3. U.S. v. MaduroCourt to hear argument on motions to dismiss indictment
  4. Pampena v. MuskCourt sets claims filing deadline for class members
  5. X Corp. v. Apple and OpenAIJury trial scheduled to begin in Fort Worth
  6. Notre Affaire à Tous v. TotalEnergiesParis Judicial Court sets compliance hearing on June 2026 judgment
  7. Bille and Ogale v. ShellLiability trial scheduled to begin
  8. U.S. v. MaduroTrial set to begin for Maduro and Flores

Latest developments Across the index

  1. Oct 22Yukos v. RussiaOrder England’s Court of Appeal orders Russia to post security pending appeal
  2. Oct 21Mozambique v. PrivinvestJudgment Court of Appeal dismisses Safa widow’s joinder appeal
  3. Oct 21Concord v. AnthropicHearing Judge Lee hears fair-use summary judgment arguments in Concord I
  4. Oct 19Camp Lejeune Water LitigationJudgment Court rejects claimants’ challenge to settlement calculations
  5. Oct 19Petersen v. Argentina (YPF)Judgment Judge Preska formally vacates 2023 judgment against Argentina
  6. Oct 19Trump v. BBCFiling BBC moves to subpoena Jack Smith for deposition
  7. Oct 19Taction v. AppleFiling Taction moves to increase $5.72B verdict against Apple
  8. Oct 16Concord v. AnthropicFiling Anthropic moves to partially dismiss BMG’s claims
  9. Oct 16Devas v. Antrix and IndiaAppeal Ninth Circuit denies en banc rehearing for Antrix
  10. Oct 16Trump v. BBCOrder Magistrate judge warns Trump of sanctions over deposition conduct

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Law firms Points across live cases

  1. 1Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan18.610 cases · biggest: AT1 Bondholders v. FINMA
  2. 2Latham & Watkins14.67 cases · biggest: Labels v. Suno
  3. 3Covington & Burling11.65 cases · biggest: Texas v. BlackRock
  4. 4Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher11.05 cases · biggest: Texas v. BlackRock
  5. 5Williams & Connolly10.75 cases · biggest: FTC v. Amazon
  6. 6Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein8.64 cases · biggest: Social Media Addiction MDL
  7. 7Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer8.44 cases · biggest: U.S. v. Google (Ad Tech)
  8. 8Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer8.14 cases · biggest: Município de Mariana v. BHP

All firms

How the index works

30%Stakes, on a log scale. $1B scores 25, $10B scores 50, $100B scores 75.
50%Impact: precedent, systemic reach, people affected, public stakes and attention, each rated 0 to 4.
20%Timeliness: a recent development, a new filing or a decisive step within 90 days.

Cases enter the index for their stakes, their precedent and public interest, and their continuing activity, and every entry rests on public sources: court filings, published decisions, arbitral awards and reputable reporting. The live index holds at most 100 cases. Research agents find developments and a separate pass checks them against their sources before anything is published. Cases are re-checked roughly weekly. Forecasts publish automatically and are scored when their question resolves.

Methodology Forecast record Suggest a case

Previously on the index Decided, settled or concluded, unranked

  1. States v. Paramount SkydanceStates’ antitrust challenge to Paramount’s Warner Bros. Discovery merger awaits settlement approvalSettledSep 30$111B
  2. Michigan v. BPCourt dismisses Michigan claim that oil majors conspired against clean energyDecidedSep 22Unquantified
  3. U.S. v. AdaniBribery case against Adani the DOJ now wants droppedConcludedAug 10$250M+ bribes
  4. Purdue / Sackler SettlementPurdue’s $7.4B opioid settlement and Sackler releases take effectSettledNov 2025$7.4B
  5. Fannie/Freddie Shareholders v. FHFAShareholders win $812M over the Fannie–Freddie profit sweepDecidedAug 14, 2023$812M